Trends and Triggers: Climate Change and Interstate Conflict

In Research Brief Number 21, CCAPS researchers Colleen Devlin, Brittany Franck and Cullen Hendrix address the concern that changing precipitation patterns will be a cause of future interstate conflict.  By looking at long-term trends affecting the baseline probability of conflict and short-term triggers affecting the immediate probability of conflict, Devlin, Franck and Hendrix seek to push beyond the common theories about resource-based conflict.

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Examining the Effectiveness of Adaptation Finance at the Local Level in Malawi

Former CCAPS Pre-Doctoral Fellow Sam Barrett, who is a PhD candidate at Trinity College Dublin, recently published an article on local level climate justice in Global Environmental Change. His research explores the effectiveness of adaptation finance at the local level in Malawi by comparing 18 villages located in the southern and eastern parts of the country that are vulnerable to the consequences of climate change.

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Alan Kuperman on Constitutional Design and Conflict Management in Africa

In an article published in Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Alan Kuperman explores whether and how constitutional reform could reduce political instability and violence in Africa. The project recommends promoting gradual reform of Africa's existing, centralized constitutional designs by counter-balancing them with liberal institutions which could foster both peace and democracy on the continent.

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AidData's Newly Released Data Portal Makes Development Finance More Intuitive

WASHINGTON, D.C. "“ CCAPS partner AidData, a research and innovation lab that seeks to improve development outcomes by making development finance data more accessible and actionable, released the 3.0 version of its today during Global Transparency Week.

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Explaining Government Repression in Africa

In CCAPS Research Brief No. 19, Idean Salehyan and Cullen Hendrix examine how the characteristics of a social conflict event and the nature of the regime interact to determine repressive outcomes. Using the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD), they find that events that are more threatening to the central government are more likely to be met with force. However, leaders that have faced a history of factionalism and disloyalty in the security services are less likely to resort to force as orders to repress may backfire.

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ACLED Releases October 2013 Conflict Trends Report

The October 2013 issue of ACLED's Conflict Trends includes analysis of the ongoing conflict in the Central African Republic and Democratic Republic of the Congo, the violence and political unrest continuing in Egypt, Al-Shabaab activity in Kenya, and Sudanese opposition protests.

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Ashley Moran Discusses a New Climate Dashboard Mapping Tool

The CCAPS program and Development Gateway recently launched a dashboard enabling users to analyze where and how climate-related events could disrupt Africa's security and development. In this post on The First Tranche blog, Ashley Moran demonstrates how users can use this innovative dashboard tool to analyze and forecast climate security risks in Africa in a new, hands-on way.

The Technology Behind the New CCAPS Climate Change Dashboard

In a recent post on the AidData blog entitled The First Tranche, Diego Dimunzio, Gabriel Inchauspe, and Josh Powell of Development Gateway discuss the technology behind the new CCAPS climate dashboard. 

Joshua Busby Discusses Shortfalls Within Hsiang, Burke, and Miguel Study

On the Duck of Minerva blog, CCAPS researcher Joshua Busby discusses some of the shortfalls of a recent study by Solomon Hsiang, Marshall Burke, and Edward Miguel. In his blog post, Dr. Busby stresses the importance of factors other than fixed effects when assessing how climate change affects conflict. 

Joshua Busby Responds to New Study on Climate Change and Conflict

In his recent article for New Security Beat, CCAPS researcher Joshua Busby discusses a new study by Solomon Hsiang, Marshall Burke, and Edward Miguel that looks at the relationship between climate extremes and conflict throughout history. The article, which can be found here, evaluates the claims of the authors while acknowledging the need for more causal evidence when discussing correlations between climate change and conflict.

climate dashboard news

CCAPS Mapping Tools Explore Climate Security

The CCAPS Mapping Tools visualize data on climate change vulnerability, conflict, and aid to analyze how these issues intersect in Africa.