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CCAPS Looks to Map Climate-Related Aid in Africa

The New Security Beat takes a close look at the CCAPS program's research on identifying and tracking climate aid in Malawi in the article, CCAPS Looks to Map Climate-Related Aid in Africa. CCAPS researchers have applied their climate coding methodology to all official development aid projects in Malawi, assessing each project activity for its relevance to climate change adaptation. Based on their analysis, only one to two percent of aid to Malawi is considered climate aid.

Predicting the Future Is Easier Than It Looks

Michael Ward and Nils Metternich examine the role of forecasting models in presidential politics and whether predictive tools can be applied to other fields in their Foreign Policy piece, Predicting the Future Is Easier Than It Looks,  The CCAPS program's work on identifying where, when, and how climate-related events disrupt Africa's security is highlighted as an example of forecasting in the field of environmental conflict.

Climate Variability and Conflict Risk in East Africa

Researchers at the University of Colorado at Boulder used the Armed Conflict and Location Event Dataset (ACLED) to study the relationship between climate change and conflict in East Africa. The findings, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, suggest that the relationship between climate and conflict is country specific and that social, political, and economic factors play a greater role than climate with regard to conflict. ACLED is directed by CCAPS researcher Clionadh Raleigh, Assistant Professor at Trinity College Dublin.

Climate Change and Africa's Enduring Instability

The International Relations and Security Network's piece on Climate Change and Africa's Enduring Instability includes the climate vulnerability research of Joshua Busby and his team under the CCAPS program. The CCAPS vulnerability model uses indicators of climate hazard exposure, population density, household and community resilience, and governance and political violence to create geospatial representations of vulnerability in Africa.

Study Highlights Lack of Climate-linked Aid to Malawi

Bernard Appiah's piece, Study Highlights Lack of Climate-linked aid to Malawi, explores the Malawi Geocoded and Climate-Coded Aid Dataset and its potential to facilitate donor coordination. Only one to two percent of aid to Malawi is considered climate aid, according to Kate Weaver and the CCAPS adaptation aid team.

Climate Change and Conflict: Is There Any Correlation?

CCAPS research on the effect of rainfall variability on conflict is highlighted in the Conservation Blog's article, Climate Change and Conflict: Is There Any Correlation? The article discusses the finding by CCAPS researchers Cullen Hendrix and Idean Salehyan that extreme deviations in rainfall are associated positively with political conflict.

Development Data Challenge

Last week's Development Data Challenge, hosted by the Guardian, examined if and how aid datasets can be used to learn more about international development. The CCAPS program's geo-coded dataset of aid activities in Malawi, developed in partnership with AidData and the Ministry of Finance of Malawi, was included in the Development Data Challenge and coded for visualization.

Predicting How Climate and Politics Affect Stability in Africa

International Science Grid This Week (iSGTW) explores the CCAPS mapping tool that integrates data on conflict, climate vulnerability, and adaptation aid. In his piece "Predicting How Climate and Politics Affect Stability in Africa: Data Mapping the Future of a Continent," Diego Joaquin Cruz Ramirez provides background on the CCAPS program and explains why the mapping tool was developed and how it allows researchers to analyze conflict, climate, and aid in Africa.

Strauss Center Releases New Data on Climate Aid in Africa

The Strauss Center's Climate Change and African Political Stability (CCAPS) program today released the first-ever dataset tracking all climate aid activities in a single country. In the pilot study, CCAPS researchers applied their new "climate coding" methodology to all official development aid projects in Malawi's Aid Management Platform, assessing each project activity for its relevance to climate change adaptation.

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Mapping the Future of Climate Change in Africa

In his article Mapping the Future of Climate Change in Africa, Diego Cruz of the Texas Advanced Computing Center (TACC) discusses the tools developed by the CCAPS program to help vulnerable populations adapt to climate change and political instability. CCAPS researchers use the high-performance computing resources at TACC to run regional climate model simulations. The climate projections are generated using a regional climate model focused on Africa, allowing the researchers to optimize the model to be more accurate for the African continent than current global models and to produce projections at higher resolution.

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CCAPS Mapping Tools Explore Climate Security

The CCAPS Mapping Tools visualize data on climate change vulnerability, conflict, and aid to analyze how these issues intersect in Africa.