In a recent article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CCAPS researchers Cullen Hendrix and Idean Salehyan use the program’s Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD) to address issues pertaining the regime repression in Africa.
In their article in International Interactions, CCAPS researchers Cullen Henrix and Idean Salehyan discuss underrporting bias. The authors propose using the method of mark and recapture to find an estimate of the true number of events.
Cullen Hendrix, a lead researcher on the CCAPS program, and Stephan Haggard recently published an article on global food prices and urban unrest in the Journal of Peace Research. Their research, which focuses on Africa and Asia and uses data from 1961 to 2010, is also highlighted in NewSecurityBeat, a blog by the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program.
This paper by CCAPS researchers expands on the data, methodology, and results presented at the 2013 Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association in San Francisco (April 2013) and recently published in their paper “Climate security vulnerability in Africa mapping 3.0”, in Political Geography (Issue 43: 2014).
CCAPS researcher Idean Salehyan discusses best practices in collecting conflict data, including source selection, coding, and data sharing.
In this article, published in Politcal Geography, CCAPS researchers Josh Busby, Todd G. Smith and Nisha Krishnan detail the methodological refinements made to an existing model of climate security, vulnerability, rationale for the approach, and the findings.
Colleen Devlin and Cullen Hendrix's article in Political Geography explores precipitation patterns and interstate conflict. They find that "long-run variability in precipitation and lower mean levels of precipitation in dyads are associated with the outbreak of militarized interstate disputes" and that "joint precipitation scarcity – defined as both countries experiencing below mean rainfall in the same year – has a conflict-dampening effect."
CCAPS researchers Idean Salehyan and Cullen Hendrix examine the relationship between environmental scarcity and political violence. The authors conclude that "water abundance is positively correlated with political violence, and that this relationship is stronger in less developed, more agriculturally dependent societies."
In a recent article featured in Nature Climate Change, CCAPS researcher Clionadh Raleigh examines the theory that extreme weather events are the drivers of insecurity and conflict. She argues that suggesting that climate change is the dominant influence on violence can lead to environmental determinism, effectively overlooking the true causes of conflict.
In an article published in Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy, Alan Kuperman explores whether constitutional reform could reduce political instability and violence in Africa. The project recommends promoting gradual reform of Africa's centralized constitutional designs by counter-balancing them with liberal institutions.