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CAMPI Director Builds Central America Migration Model

Sep 28, 2021 |

This past month, Stephanie Leutert, Director of the Central America and Mexico Policy Initiative (CAMPI), built a model to better understand current migration dynamics and to estimate total numbers of unique individuals leaving their communities in Mexico and Central America. The model focuses on unique individuals (by subtracting repeat encounters) and aims to capture populations not covered by CBP data, particularly undetected individuals and people migrating who never make it to the U.S.-Mexico border. While migration is dynamic and complex and refuses to fit neatly into a model, modeling migration can help to  better understand who is migrating, how policies affect their migration, and what published U.S. Customs and Border Protection numbers can and cannot explain. The model and the write up can be found under the Articles section here. The model will be updated monthly.

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