Greitens on U.S.-North Korea Relations
Jun 17, 2020 | East Asia
Sheena Chestnut Greitens, Strauss Center Distinguished Scholar and Associate Professor of Public Affairs at the LBJ School, recently published a piece titled “Why North Korea-U.S. Relations Will Remain Stable Unless Kim Really Needs Coronavirus Aid.” In it, she provides an assessment of the present status of the U.S-North Korea relationship, noting that it is likely that President Trump will continue to back-burner North Korea, while North Korea is likely to keep provocations relatively low-level until it has more information on what administration it will face after the 2020 U.S. presidential election. Greitens notes that unforeseen events could affect the North Korean calculus: a severe COVID-19 outbreak could heighten the need for sanctions relief, or Kim Jong-un could have another health scare, causing further uncertainty about the North Korean line of succession, and thereby breeding internal and international instability. Thus, she concludes, U.S. policymakers must also prepare for the unexpected. Read the full article here.