In CCAPS Research Brief No. 35, researchers Dan Robles-Olson and Ashley Moran analyze the effectiveness of democracy aid programs in Benin and Guinea, both of which face high poverty and low levels of human development. Though the two countries have similar histories, they have also endured different paths towards democratization.
In CCAPS Research Brief No. 34, researchers Brooke Escobar and Ashley Moran analyze aid programming in post-conflict situations using a case study of Rwanda and Burundi. The study considers the causal mechanisms through which democracy promotion programs impact democratic development in a post-conflict context.
The June 2016 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trend report provides a snapshot of political violence in Africa as well as an in-depth analysis of a stabilization in the conflict environment in Libya, as well as analysis of the increased conflict activity and the threat of the Islamic State in Tunisia. A special report on focuses local violence monitoring in Burundi.
In Research Brief No. 33, Ashley Moran discusses the research design and case matching process for the CCAPS study assessing the impact of democracy aid in difficult contexts. By assessing how democracy aid impacts democratic development in key contexts, the study aims to provide new empirical analysis to support the design of democracy aid programs.
The May 2016 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trend report analyzes the Oromia protests in Ethiopia, encroaching violence by Fulani herders in southeastern Nigeria, a decline in overall protest events in April 2016, and concomitant rise in voter registration protests in South Africa. A special report focuses on the intractable political crisis in Burundi, exploring the types and locations of unrest and differential reporting of violence in 2015-16.
The April 2016 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trend report focuses on increased protest activity in Chad at the beginning of this year, widespread police abuses in Egypt, the resurfacing of the Mozambican National Resistance movement (RENAMO) violence in Mozambique, al-Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AQIM) and al-Mourabitoun attacks against foreign nationals in Burkina Faso, Ivory Coast and Mali, and the rise of organized anti-state violence in the aftermath of Museveni’s electoral victory and anti-FDC violence in Uganda.
ACLED's March Conflict Trends report focuses on ADF and FDLR violence in Democratic Republic of Congo, the largely peaceful protests against the expansion of Addis Ababa and the security forces response in Ethiopia, territorial gains made by General Khalifah Haftar’s military forces in Benghazi, Libya, the wide geography of riots and protests by Children of the Liberation Struggle (CLS) in Namibia, the peace process in South Sudan, spikes in protest and low-level Islamist insurgency in Tunisia, and election-based violence in Uganda.
The January 2016 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trends report is an overview of conflict in 2015 and profiles sexual violence in Central African Republic, on-going police abuses in Egypt in 2016, Islamic State attacks and expanding quasi-military activity in Libya, religious-based violence in Nigeria, increased conflict activity by off-shoot militias in South Sudan and violence against civilians in North Darfur, Sudan.
ACLED's December issue of Conflict Trends focuses on Boko Haram violence and general elections in Nigeria, xenophobic riots and tuition fee protests in universities in South Africa, the trajectory of conflict in South Sudan as it enters its third year of civil war, an increase in ethnic and communal violence as pro-government militias scaled down attacks in Sudan, and riot and protest activity and strategic shifts in Islamist violence in Tunisia.
ACLED's November Conflict Trends report focuses on the diffusion of protests in Algeria amidst elite corruption, State of Sinai activity and parliamentary elections in Egypt, intra-party political violence in Guinea, political contestation in Republic of Congo following President Denis Sassou Nguesso’s constitutional amendment to term limits, demonstrations over university fees in South Africa, and heightened protest activity related to the 2016 elections in Uganda. A Special Focus Topic explores the effect of income and investment on inducing political conflict.
ACLED's October issue of Conflict Trends focuses on the recent coup attempt and popular mobilisation in Burkina Faso, one-sided violence and strategic power-sharing in Burundi, the geography of rebellion in Democratic Republic of Congo, political dialogue and military power play in Libya and by-election violence and UPND incited riots in Zambia.
ACLED's September issue focuses on allegations against peacekeeping forces in Central African Republic, the continuation of a regime of intimidation in Egypt, the potential for Islamic State expansion across Africa, decreased levels of violence following peace talks in South Sudan and a reduction in violence against civilians in Sudan, economically driven protests in Tunisia and patterns of violence surrounding the Zimbabwe by-elections.
ACLED's August issue of Conflict Trends focuses on Algeria’s fragile security situation, tentative peace agreements and violence between Islamic State and Al-Qaeda affiliated groups in Libya, strategic adaption of Al Shabaab forces in Kenya, continued Boko Haram attacks in Nigeria, increased cultural protests in South Africa and the impact of sweeping security measures in Tunisia following the Sousse attack.
ACLED's July issue of Conflict Trends focuses on the shift in political strategy and increased lethality of violence in Burundi, the de-escalation of conflict between Malian forces and the Coordination of Movements of Azawad (CMA) in Mali, increased coordination between rebel forces in South Sudan, violence against Darfuri students in Sudan, and competing strategies of violent Islamist groups in Tunisia.
The June 2015 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trends Report focuses on civilian-targeted violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the continued encroachment of Islamic State (IS) affiliate groups in Libya, xenophobic violence in South Africa, and violent Islamist-related activity in Tanzania, LRA and ADF patterns of activity in Uganda and the surrounding Central African region.
ACLED's May 2015 edition of Conflict Trends focuses on the declining activity of Boko Haram, escalating protests in Burundi, and also offers an overview of a newly released ACLED working paper on shifting forms and spatial distribution of protest activity in North Africa.
CCAPS Research Brief No. 32 discusses the policy relevance of tracking climate financing for the World Bank, recipient country governments, and development initiatives in order to improve climate adaptation strategies in Sub-Saharan Africa.
The April 2015 edition of ACLED's Conflict Trends Report focuses on the intervention of French Military Forces in West Africa, Islamist Militancy and Counter Insurgency strategies in North Africa, an analysis of violence surrounding the recent elections in Nigeria, and targeted violence against foreign nationals.
ACLED's March 2015 Conflict Trends report, focuses on continued violence against civilians in Democratic Republic of Congo, political alliances and localised conflict inLibya amidst UN-brokered negotiations, heightened activity by transnational actors against Boko Haram in Nigeria, the endurance of violence across Africa despite peace agreements, and the temporary de-escalation of conflict events in South Sudan.
What do we know about the impact of climate change on development goals? This research brief by Kate Weaver explores why aid for adaptation and mitigation is important for addressing climate change vulnerability in Africa. The brief covers climate funding for adaptation and mitigation programs and how climaterelated activities within development aid programs are identified and tracked.