Close
Close
Briefs: CCAPS briefs present concise summaries of the goals, methodology, and findings of all studies conducted under the CCAPS program. ACLED conflict trend briefs provide monthly updates on trends in political violence across Africa.
Date:
10 March 2014
The March 2014 issue of Conflict Trends report examines the ongoing violence in the Central African Republic, the devolution of power in Kenya and its effect on local conflict in the country, the changing nature of conflict dynamics in Mali, the increasing rate of civilian targeting in Nigeria, and Al Shabaab’s role in the increased conflict levels in Somalia. 

Date:
12 February 2014

The February 2014 issue of Conflict Trends report focuses on the escalation of conflict in Central African Republic, political developments in Kenya and Mozambique, and prospects for peace in South Sudan. The report also provides an in depth overview of the recently launched Version 4 dataset. 

Date:
17 January 2014
This issue of Conflict Trends will provide an overview of 2013 as captured in Version 4 of the ACLED dataset, before profiling dynamics in North Africa, Central African Republic, Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, Somalia and South Sudan, with an emphasis on countries which have experienced persistent instability in recent years.

Date:
09 December 2013

The Democratic Republic of Congo (DR-Congo) is the second most violent country in the ACLED dataset when measured by the number of conflict events; and the third most fatal over the course of the dataset's coverage (1997 - September 2013). This report examines M23 in North and South Kivu and the Lord's Resistance Army (LRA) in northern DR-Congo.

Date:
09 December 2013

Kenya is the seventh most violent country in the ACLED dataset with just over 3,500 recorded politically violent events between 1997 and September 2013. The report analyzes militia activity in urban areas, communal violence in the Rift Valley and conflict in neighboring Somalia.

Date:
09 December 2013
ACLED's December issue of Conflict Trends focuses on the role of Seleka in fueling conflict in the Central African Republic, the growth of M-23 in DR-Congo, the increase of militia activity in Kenya and the ongoing instability in Libya. The report also looks at the increasing conflict levels in Mali, Mauritania and South Sudan.
Date:
03 December 2013

In Research Brief No. 20, Ashley Moran and Dominique Thuot discuss new mapping tools that allow users to view data on climate change vulnerability, real-time conflict tracking, and international aid intervention. By combining scientific, security, governance, and development data, users are able to investigate complex security questions.

Date:
22 November 2013
In Research Brief Number 21, CCAPS researchers Colleen Devlin, Brittany Franck and Cullen Hendrix address the concern that changing precipitation patterns will be a cause of future interstate conflict.  By looking at long-term trends and short-term triggers, Devlin, Franck and Hendrix push beyond the common theories about resource-based conflict.

Date:
11 November 2013
The November 2013 issue of ACLED's Conflict Trends focuses on the intensification of violence in DR-Congo; persistent violence in Mali; the collapse of the peace agreement in Mozambique; several high-profile, high-intensity attacks in Nigeria; and rising unrest in Tunisia.
Date:
21 October 2013

In Research Brief No. 19, Idean Salehyan and Cullen Hendrix examine how characteristics of a social conflict event and the nature of the regime interact to determine repressive outcomes. Using the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD), they find that events that are more threatening to the central government are more likely to be met with force.

Date:
11 October 2013
The October 2013 issue of ACLED's Conflict Trends includes analysis of the ongoing conflict in the Central African Republic and Democratic Republic of the Congo, the violence and political unrest continuing in Egypt, Al-Shabaab activity in Kenya, and Sudanese opposition protests.
Date:
09 September 2013
The September 2013 issue of ACLED's monthly conflict trends report takes a look at ongoing unrest in the Central African Republic, mounting tension in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and the emerging phenomenon of communal vigilante groups in Nigeria.
Date:
23 August 2013
CCAPS Research Brief No. 18 focuses on aid for climate change adaptation in Malawi, finding that aid explicitly targeting adaptation makes up a small fraction of Malawi's total aid portfolio (one to six percent). When aid focused on broader capacity development is taken into account, nearly one-fifth of all official development assistance in Malawi has potential to reduce people's vulnerability to climate change.
Date:
13 August 2013

The August 2013 issue of Conflict Trends includes analysis of the escalating crisis in Egypt, which witnessed an intensification of fighting and related fatalities in July; an overview surrounding the recent elections in Mali and Zimbabwe; details of Morocco's conflict profile in historical and regional perspective; and a look at simmering tensions in Mozambique.

Date:
06 August 2013
CCAPS Research Brief No. 17 presents a new methodology for tracking aid for food security. To pilot this method, CCAPS researchers coded and mapped official development assistance projects from five major donors in Malawi, finding that approximately 29 percent of development activities were relevant to food security.
Date:
01 August 2013
CCAPS researchers have developed a framework on how to identify, classify, and predict complex emergencies. This framework, outlined in CCAPS Research Brief No. 16, defines complex emergencies as crises resulting from a combination of instabilities interacting with each other.
Date:
12 July 2013
The July 2013 issue of ACLED's monthly conflict trends report focuses on the escalation of unrest in Egypt, ongoing violence in DR-Congo's Katanga Province, continuing communal violence in Kenya, and escalating conflict in Somalia's cities of Mogadishu and Kismayo. What to expect in the upcoming elections in Mali and Zimbabwe is also discussed.
Date:
02 July 2013
The CDCM project explores whether and how constitutional reform could reduce political instability and violence in Africa. In CCAPS Research Brief No. 15, Alan Kuperman outlines seven case studies on African countries, a database of constitutional design in all of Africa, and policy recommendations for foreign aid to promote democracy and good governance.
Date:
02 July 2013
Why given the pace and intensity of urbanization in Africa do urban conditions continue to deteriorate and national political programs remain fixed on rural development? In CCAPS Research Brief No. 14, Clionadh Raleigh argues that the poor state of urban cities will continue if migrants, the urban poor, and opposition parties cannot raise support to alter the political calculations of leaders.
Date:
10 June 2013
This report looks at the ongoing conflict in Nigeria, which intensified this month with the declaration of a state of emergency in the northeast and a renewed commitment on the part of the federal government to oust the northern Islamist militant group, Boko Haram. The report also examines conflict events in DR-Congo, Niger, Senegal, and South Africa.