This report summarizes CCAPS program findings in its nine core research areas: climate security vulnerability, future climate projections over Africa, climate change and conflict, armed conflict tracking, constitutional design and conflict management, democracy aid in difficult contexts, disaster response capacity, climate change resilience in urban Africa, and adaptation aid.
CCAPS Democratic Governance researchers Ashley Moran, Brooke Escobar, and Daniel Robles-Olson explore what types of democracy aid are most successful in impacting democratic development in Africa, focusing on two particularly challenging contexts: countries recovering from conflict and countries facing low human development.
In a Brookings Institutions paper, researchers Kate Weaver, Krista Rasmussen, Justin Baker, and Joshua Powell discuss a new methodoloy used to improve the analytic power of data on food security. The aid tracking pilot provides key insights into whether and how donors are shifting away from emergency food relief toward allocating longer-term development resources to address the underlying conditions of food insecurity.
The report is based on a year-long Policy Research Project course that was co-directed by Robert H. Wilson and Todd G. Smith during the 2012-2013 academic year. The project explores the role of local government in developing resilience due to its key role in addressing urban vulnerabilities.
In ACLED Working Paper No. 7, Tunisia's turbulent democratic transition is analyzed through existing theories of Islamist violence, as well as a model of protest cycles. The validity of the protest cycle model is tested in the case of Tunisia by analyzing how the patterns of conflict evolve over time and why they increasingly involve violent Islamist groups.
ACLED Working Paper No. 5 examines coding armed conflicts from a range of sources including newspapers, online journals, and reports by humanitarian organizations. The researchers investigate whether certain types of publications exhibit bias, if urban bias exists in conflict monitoring, and if a state's government affects the compostion of internal conflict reporting.
ACLED Working Paper No. 6 addresses how conflict dynamics in Egypt and Libya have transformed in the post-Arab Spring period with particular focus on the changes in contentious political strategies in response to changing institutional structures.
In CCAPS Working Paper No. 4, Robert Wilson and Todd Smith examine the responses and adaptations to climate change within ten African cities. Using a comparative case study approach, field research was conducted on the governance systems in Ghana, Egypt, South Africa, Morocco, Senegal, Tanzania, Uganda, Angola, and Mozambique.
CCAPS researcher Cullen Hendrix recently co-authored a book with Marcus Noland entitled Confronting the Curse: The Economics and Geopolitics of Natural Resource Governance. Hendrix and Noland look at why some countries with abundant natural resources are often plagued by mismanagement, exploitation and authoritarianism.
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 6, a team of researchers led by Jennifer Bussell explores the causes of variation in government policies to reduce the risk of, prepare for, and respond to natural disasters. The report focuses on the African continent and ten case studies within Africa.
This ACLED regional report underscores the changing complexity of North Africa’s conflict profile by providing an analysis of the role and activity of the state in political violence, dynamics of civil unrest in the form of riots and protests, and an actor-based study of historic and contemporary Islamist militancy across the region.
In 2011, Malawi became the first country in the world to capture the near-universe of official development aid activities at the subnational level in a publicly available, dynamic map. In this report, the researchers present their geocoded data and discuss the evolution of the mapping initiative and the potential benefits of aid mapping.
The CCAPS program held a workshop on May 16-17, 2011 to explore issues related to mapping and modeling climate vulnerability. Bringing together a range of experts, the workshop sought to forge tighter ties among the community of experts in this area, identify best practices, think through research challenges, and inform public debate.