In a recent article for the Journal of Conflict Resolution, CCAPS researchers Cullen Hendrix and Idean Salehyan use the program’s Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD) to address issues pertaining the regime repression in Africa.
In their article in International Interactions, CCAPS researchers Cullen Henrix and Idean Salehyan discuss underrporting bias. The authors propose using the method of mark and recapture to find an estimate of the true number of events.
Cullen Hendrix, a lead researcher on the CCAPS program, and Stephan Haggard recently published an article on global food prices and urban unrest in the Journal of Peace Research. Their research, which focuses on Africa and Asia and uses data from 1961 to 2010, is also highlighted in NewSecurityBeat, a blog by the Wilson Center's Environmental Change and Security Program.
CCAPS researcher Idean Salehyan discusses best practices in collecting conflict data, including source selection, coding, and data sharing.
Colleen Devlin and Cullen Hendrix's article in Political Geography explores precipitation patterns and interstate conflict. They find that "long-run variability in precipitation and lower mean levels of precipitation in dyads are associated with the outbreak of militarized interstate disputes" and that "joint precipitation scarcity – defined as both countries experiencing below mean rainfall in the same year – has a conflict-dampening effect."
CCAPS researcher Todd G. Smith explores the issue of whether rising domestic consumer food prices are a contributing cause of sociopolitical unrest, more broadly defined, in urban areas of Africa.
CCAPS researchers Idean Salehyan and Cullen Hendrix examine the relationship between environmental scarcity and political violence. The authors conclude that "water abundance is positively correlated with political violence, and that this relationship is stronger in less developed, more agriculturally dependent societies."
In Research Brief Number 22, CCAPS researchers Aleksandra Egorova and Cullen Hendrix discuss the possibility of natural disasters providing an opportunity to build peace via negotiated settlements.
CCAPS researcher Cullen Hendrix recently co-authored a book with Marcus Noland entitled Confronting the Curse: The Economics and Geopolitics of Natural Resource Governance. Hendrix and Noland look at why some countries with abundant natural resources are often plagued by mismanagement, exploitation and authoritarianism.
In Research Brief No. 19, Idean Salehyan and Cullen Hendrix examine how characteristics of a social conflict event and the nature of the regime interact to determine repressive outcomes. Using the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD), they find that events that are more threatening to the central government are more likely to be met with force.
In CCAPS Research Brief No. 7, Cullen Hendrix argues that the very features of democracy that make it better suited to address the issues of the rural sector - where chronic food insecurity is most prevalent - also make democracies more likely to see unrest in times of high food prices.
In this article featured in International Interactions, CCAPS researchers Idean Salehyan, Cullen S. Hendrix, Jesse Hamner, Christina Case, Christopher Linebarger, Emily Stull, and Jennifer Williams describe the Social Conflict in Africa Database (SCAD) which contains information on over 7,200 instances of unrest in 47 African countries from 1990-2010.
In CCAPS Policy Brief No. 2, Cullen Hendrix and Idean Salehyan examine climate change, rainfall, and social conflict in Africa. The authors argue that understanding and responding to the threat of climate-driven instability in Africa requires a definition of conflict that recognizes episodic unrest, riots, and demonstrations as well as interstate or civil war.