Analysis
Browse publications from our programs and news from our distinguished scholars
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Climate Change, Growth, and Poverty in Ethiopia
In CCAPS Working Paper No. 3, Emerta Aragie examines the impact of climate change on agricultural production and finds that rainfall significantly explains economic activity. If the current rate of decline in the average annual level of rainfall continues, Ethiopia will forgo, on average, more than six percent of each year’s agricultural output.
Conflict Trends June 2013
This report looks at the ongoing conflict in Nigeria, which intensified this month with the declaration of a state of emergency in the northeast and a renewed commitment on the part of the federal government to oust the northern Islamist militant group, Boko Haram. The report also examines conflict events in DR-Congo, Niger, Senegal, and…
Conflict Trends May 2013
The May volume of Conflict Trends looks at escalating conflict in Ivory Coast, Libya, and Nigeria which have each seen high-profile violence this month. The report also includes an overview of conflict in the Darfur Region of Sudan as well as the ongoing conflict in Somalia.
Climate Change and Insecurity: Mapping Vulnerability in Africa
The Spring 2013 issue of International Security features an article by CCAPS researchers on mapping climate security vulnerability in Africa. The authors find that the places in Africa most vulnerable to the security consequences of climate change are parts of the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Somalia, and South Sudan. Read the full article…
ACLED Country Report: Nigeria
ACLED’s country report focuses on Nigeria, the fourth most violent country in the ACLED dataset when measured by the number of violent events, and the seventh most fatal over the course of the dataset’s coverage (1997 March 2013).
ACLED Country Report: Somalia
ACLED’s country report focuses on Somalia, the most violent country in the ACLED dataset when measured on number of violent events, and the ninth most fatal country when measured in terms of conflict-related reported fatalities.
ACLED Country Report: Nigeria
ACLED’s country report focuses on Nigeria, the fourth most violent country in the ACLED dataset when measured by the number of violent events, and the seventh most fatal over the course of the dataset’s coverage (1997 March 2013).
Climate Security Vulnerability Model, Version 3.0: Methodology
The CCAPS Climate Security Vulnerability Model (CSVM) aims to identify places most likely vulnerable to climate security concerns in Africa. This document outlines the general mapping process used for the vulnerability model, the rationale for inclusion of particular indicators in the model, and the specific process for calculating vulnerability.
Designing Constitutions to Reduce Domestic Conflict
Alan Kuperman presents Designing Constitutions to Reduce Domestic Conflict at the 2013 Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association in San Francisco, California on April 3-6, 2013.