Analysis
Browse publications from our programs and news from our distinguished scholars
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Tracking Adaptation Aid
In CCAPS Research Brief No. 2, Catherine Weaver and Christian Peratsakis discuss CCAPS research assessing where international aid resources have been effectively deployed, which they argue is critical to addressing climate change vulnerability and building adaptive capacity in Africa.
The Search for Safety
CCAPS researcher Clionadh Raleigh’s article in Global Environmental Change discusses how conflict patterns affect the volume, direction, and types of migration within the developing world. Read the full article here.
Mapping and Modeling Climate Security Vulnerability: Workshop Report
The CCAPS program held a workshop on May 16-17, 2011 to explore issues related to mapping and modeling climate vulnerability. Bringing together a range of experts, the workshop sought to forge tighter ties among the community of experts in this area, identify best practices, think through research challenges, and inform public debate.
Climate Security And East Africa: A GIS-Based Analysis Of Vulnerability
Todd G. Smith presents the CCAPS vulnerability team’s research at the IPSS/UPEACE sponsored conference on Traditional Knowledge and Adaptation to Adverse Impacts of Climate Change Among Pastoralists of the Horn of Africa in September 2011 in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
Of Climate Change and Crystal Balls: The Future of Climate Change in Africa
CCAPS researcher Joshua Busby presents research on the future consequences of climate change in Africa at the American Political Science Association’s meeting in Seattle, Washington in September 2011 and the International Studies Association Conference in New Orleans, Lousiana in February 2010.
Water Resource Stress and Food Insecurity in Southern Africa
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 1, Sachin Shah, Sarah Williams, and Shu Yang examine countries’ vulnerability and their ability to minimize the effects of climate change. Case studies include Angola, Botswana, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia, South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia, and Zimbabwe.
Vulnerability to Climate Change: An Assessment of East and Central Africa
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 2, Bonnie Doty, Erika Grajeda, Pace Phillips, and Atul Shrestha outline the potential impact of climate change on security in East/Central Africa. Western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, eastern Burundi, and the tri-border region between Uganda, Sudan, and the DRC are identified as vulnerable to climate change.
Assessing Climate Vulnerability in North Africa
In CCAPS Student Working Paper No. 3, graduate students Sanjeet Deka, Christian Glakas, and Marc Olivier refine the CCAPS vulnerability model to account for region-specific characteristics relevant to North Africa, including migration, water resources, and terrorism. Sudan appears to be the most vulnerable country in the region.
Can Political Institutions Avert Violence from Climate Change?
In CCAPS Research Brief No. 1, Alan Kuperman outlines Constitutional Design and Conflict Management research on which institutions are likely to moderate or exacerbate the impact of climate change. Case studies assess how political institutions could buffer the impact of climate change by channeling societal stress into non-violent outcomes.
Locating Climate Insecurity
In CCAPS Policy Brief No. 3, Joshua Busby, Todd Smith, and Kaiba White identify which areas in Africa are most vulnerable to climate change, and why, at the most detailed scale possible. Africa is vulnerable to climate change, partly because of geography, and partly because of the low adaptive capacity of many African countries.