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Predicting the Future Is Easier Than It Looks
Nov 16, 2012 | CCAPS
Michael Ward and Nils Metternich examine the role of forecasting models in presidential politics and whether predictive tools can be applied to other fields in their Foreign Policy piece, Predicting the Future Is Easier Than It Looks, The CCAPS program’s work on identifying where, when, and how climate-related events disrupt Africa’s security is highlighted as an example of forecasting in the field of environmental conflict.