Analysis
Browse publications from our programs and news from our distinguished scholars
Conflict Trends January 2013
The Armed Conflict Location and Event Dataset (ACLED) released the January 2013 issue of its monthly Conflict Trends Report. This issue analyzes events in 2012 and focuses on the top ten most conflict-prone countries: Somalia, South Africa, Nigeria, DR-Congo, Sudan, Egypt, Kenya, Tunisia, Libya, and Algeria.
Of Climate Change and Crystal Balls
The Air and Space Power Journal Africa and Francophonie, a quarterly publication of the U.S. Air Force, featured an article by CCAPS researchers on the future consequences of climate change. The authors put forth the CCAPS model of vulnerability as an approach to identify where, when, and how climate-related events will disrupt Africa’s security. Read…
Conflict Trends December 2012
The December issue of the Conflict Trends Report is the ninth in a series of monthly publications from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Dataset (ACLED). This month is the second in a series of regionally-focused reports, focusing on the East Africa cases of Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda, and DR-Congo.
Conflict Trends November 2012
The November issue of the Conflict Trends Report is the eighth in a series of monthly publications from the Armed Conflict Location & Event Dataset (ACLED). This month is the first in a series of regionally-focused reports, looking at the West African states of Benin, Ghana, Guinea-Bissau, Ivory Coast, Mali, and Mauritania.
Conflict Trends October 2012
This trends report is the seventh monthly publication by ACLED with analysis on realtime disaggregated data on political conflict in Africa. This month’s report focuses on developments in DR-Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, Somalia, and South Africa and includes a thematic focus on violent Islamist groups across the African continent.
Spatial Vulnerability of Rural Nigeria to Climate Change
Ignatius Madu’s article in the International Journal of Climate Change explores the spatial patterns of vulnerability to climate change in Nigeria, finding that the more vulnerable households are in northern states that are characterized by a high degree of rurality. Dr. Madu is a winner of the CCAPS Call for Papers on environmental security.
Shocks and Politics
Jennifer Bussell presents CCAPS research on the political economy of natural disasters in Africa at the UN-WIDER Climate Change and Development Policy Conference in Helsinki, Finland on September 28, 2012.
Tracking Climate Adaptation Aid: Methodology
In CCAPS Research Brief No. 5, Catherine Weaver, Justin Baker, and Christian Peratsakis outline CCAPS methodology to track aid activities relevant to climate change adaptation within official development assistance projects in Malawi. The proof of concept shows it is not only desirable, but possible, to provide accessible and timely data on climate aid.
Conflict Trends September 2012
This monthly trends report by ACLED focuses on developments in Côte d’Ivoire, DR-Congo, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. Realtime data for the month of August is presented, analyzed, and compared with longer-term trends to explore patterns in actors, modalities, and geographies of violence.
Conflict Trends August 2012
This monthly trends report focuses on recent political violence in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Mali, Nigeria, Somalia, and Sudan. Realtime data for the month of July is presented for each of these countries, and compared with historical trends to identify profiles and patterns in the geography, agents, and modalities of violence in…