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Armed Conflict | Publications

Conflict Trends July 2015

ACLED’s July issue of Conflict Trends focuses on the shift in political strategy and increased lethality of violence in Burundi, the de-escalation of conflict between Malian forces and the Coordination of Movements of Azawad (CMA)…

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The Cycle of Conflict in Post-Revolutionary Tunisia, 2011-2014

In ACLED Working Paper No. 7, Tunisia’s turbulent democratic transition is analyzed through existing theories of Islamist violence, as well as a model of protest cycles. The validity of the protest cycle model is tested…

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Reporting Sources

ACLED Working Paper No. 5 examines coding armed conflicts from a range of sources including newspapers, online journals, and reports by humanitarian organizations. The researchers investigate whether certain types of publications exhibit bias, if urban…

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Conflict Trends June 2015

The June 2015 edition of ACLED’s Conflict Trends Report focuses on civilian-targeted violence in the Democratic Republic of Congo, the continued encroachment of Islamic State (IS) affiliate groups in Libya, xenophobic violence in South Africa,…

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Collective Action in North Africa

ACLED Working Paper No. 6 addresses how conflict dynamics in Egypt and Libya have transformed in the post-Arab Spring period with particular focus on the changes in contentious political strategies in response to changing institutional…

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Conflict Trends May 2015

ACLED’s May 2015 edition of Conflict Trends focuses on the declining activity of Boko Haram, escalating protests in Burundi, and also offers an overview of a newly released ACLED working paper on shifting forms and spatial distribution…

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No News Is Good News

In their article in International Interactions, CCAPS researchers Cullen Henrix and Idean Salehyan discuss underreporting bias. The authors propose using the method of mark and recapture to find an estimate of the true number of events. Read…

Conflict Trends April 2015

The April 2015 edition of ACLED’s Conflict Trends Report focuses on the intervention of French Military Forces in West Africa, Islamist Militancy and Counter Insurgency strategies in North Africa, an analysis of violence surrounding the recent…

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Conflict Trends March 2015

ACLED’s March 2015 Conflict Trends report, focuses on continued violence against civilians in Democratic Republic of Congo, political alliances and localised conflict inLibya amidst UN-brokered negotiations, heightened activity by transnational actors against Boko Haram in Nigeria, the endurance of violence across Africa despite…

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Conflict Trends February 2015

February 2015 edition of ACLED’s Conflict Trends report focuses on heightened protest activity in Algeria against the government’s proposal to extract shale gas, clashes between Boko Haram and the Cameroon military, Central African Republic, and volatile…

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